
Foreword by CIO
This year’s evolving macro landscape has tested investor conviction, with elevated policy uncertainty and persistent market volatility shaping the sentiment. Yet, beneath the surface, the global economy continues to expand and this reinforces our constructive view on equities.
Meanwhile, the gradual erosion of US dollar dominance has prompted many countries to diversify their foreign reserves into gold. However, the dollar’s supremacy remains intact for now, backed by its liquidity, convertibility, and related financial infrastructure.
Against this backdrop, these developments introduce both headwinds and opportunities. In response, investors should consider strategies that balance resilience with agility, ensuring portfolios remain aligned with long-term goals while adapting to a changing environment.
In our 2H 2025 Investment Outlook, we highlight the themes we believe will be most influential in the months ahead. We also explore how a forward-looking and diversified approach can help investors capture upside potential while strengthening portfolio resilience.
To make the most of these opportunities, I highly encourage you to speak with your Senior Client Advisor for tailored advice on managing your investment portfolio and positioning for emerging market trends.
We hope this provides clarity on the opportunities we see—and how we continue to help you stay one step ahead.
Dr Neo Teng Hwee
Chief Investment Officer and
Head of Investment Products and Solutions
UOB Private Bank
Outlook at a glance
Key themes to watch

Trump 2.0
President Trump’s fiscal expansion plans including domestic tax cuts and deregulations could lift US corporate earnings. With tariff receipts, President Trump can use these duty revenues to fund the corporate tax cuts.

Mid-cycle pause
Despite de-escalations, tariffs and policy volatility could continue to affect global trust and market dynamics in the near term. Seasonal volatility can be expected in 3Q 2025 but investors should take this opportunity to build positions into a historically strong 4Q 2025. Diversification and currency risk management will be key to building portfolio resilience.

AI rising diffusion
The investment in AI technologies today can yield robust returns, especially as costs fall and applications expand from digital realms into physical spaces. This transition to embodied AI creates an exciting frontier that could transform how we live and work, and entails lucrative investment opportunities down the road.
Asset allocation for 3Q 2025

Discover more insights

Report
From Depths to Dawn
Dive into our 2H 2025 Investment Outlook for a comprehensive analysis of macroeconomic trends, asset class perspectives, and actionable strategies to help you navigate today’s evolving landscape.

Podcast
From Depths to Dawn: Navigating 2H 2025
Markets have rebounded from the Liberation Day sell-off but uncertainty still lingers.
In this episode, our Head of Investment Strategy, Kelly Chia, distils the key investment themes for the second half of 2025 and shares how you can position your portfolio for resilience and growth.

Article
The dollar’s shifting sands: Navigating the future of global reserve currency
With global realignments gathering pace, the US dollar’s role as the world’s reserve currency is being re-examined.
Read Dr Neo Teng Hwee's full analysis in this article with The Business Times to understand the implications and opportunities ahead.
Things you should know
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